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Technology Apr 30, 9:37 am

MTN Nigeria’s Profit Outlook Threatened by Fuel Costs

MTN Nigeria has warned that rising fuel prices could affect its profitability this year, even as the country’s largest telco operator delivers record revenue growth

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What changed

The useful update

  • MTN Nigeria expects a decline in EBITDA margins if diesel prices average ₦2,000 ($1.45) per litre
  • The projected profit hit is between ₦120 billion ($87.24 million) and ₦140 billion ($101.78 million)
Why it matters

The stakes

  • A loss of $102 million could significantly impact MTN Nigeria's financial stability
  • Rising fuel costs are a structural issue that could affect many industries beyond telecommunications
What to watch next

The next check

  • MTN Nigeria is the largest telecommunications operator in the country
  • Fuel costs have been volatile, affecting many sectors in Nigeria's economy

Where this came from

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    Original report MTN Nigeria says rising fuel costs could wipe $102 million off profits

    Publisher: TechCabal · Published Apr 30, 9:37 am · techcabal.com

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The short version

MTN Nigeria has warned that rising fuel prices could affect its profitability this year, even as the country’s largest telco operator delivers record revenue growth and rebounds from last year’s curr…

MTN Nigeria said it expects a 1.8 to 2.0% decline in full-year EBITDA margins if fuel cost or diesel prices average ₦2,000 ($1.45) per litre

In its Q1 2026 results released on Wednesday, the company said it expects a 1.8 to 2.0% decline in full-year Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortisation (EBITDA) margins if diesel prices average ₦2,000 ($1.45) per litre in the second half of the year

What happened

  • MTN Nigeria expects a decline in EBITDA margins if diesel prices average ₦2,000 ($1.45) per litre
  • The projected profit hit is between ₦120 billion ($87.24 million) and ₦140 billion ($101.78 million)
  • The company has started to rebound from previous currency shocks, reporting record revenue growth
  • MTN Nigeria has reduced exposure to foreign exchange volatility by repaying $105 million in loans

Why this matters

  • A loss of $102 million could significantly impact MTN Nigeria's financial stability
  • Rising fuel costs are a structural issue that could affect many industries beyond telecommunications
  • Investors and stakeholders will be closely monitoring how this affects MTN's operational strategies

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